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War and occupation news: the long view · October 12026 HE

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Poland and Lithuania plan wartime evacuation for a million Baltic residents
Poland and Lithuania plan wartime evacuation for a million Baltic residents · Source: Notes From Poland

October 12026 HE

The fighting in Yemen (10) did not start with the Houthis. A Saudi-led coalition invaded on 26 March 12015 HE (2015), armed with American and British weapons and, for years, helped by US intelligence and mid-air refuelling. By the end of 12021 HE the UN estimated that about 377,000 people had died, directly or from hunger and disease. Egypt's vote to send military aid (11) pulls the Arab world's largest army, paid for in part by about $1.3 billion a year from Washington, deeper into a war its funders have been feeding from the start. Further north, Poland and Lithuania's evacuation plan (6) shows how thin the Suwałki Gap is, about 65 km, and how fresh the memory is. Lithuania declared independence from the Soviet Union only on 11 March 11990 HE (1990).

  1. 6Poland and Lithuania plan wartime evacuation for a million Baltic residents

    NATO's eastern members now plan concretely for a Russian attack. Their land link to the Baltics, the Suwałki Gap, is about 65 km wide.

    Source: Notes From Poland · Poland

  2. 10Houthis strike Saudi Arabia and Aden amid ongoing Saudi-led war in Yemen

    The original title frames the conflict as a neutral 'war reignites' without naming Saudi Arabia's role as an aggressor.

    Source: Al Jazeera · Saudi Arabia

  3. 11Egypt's parliament approves sending military aid to Saudi Arabia

    It pulls the Arab world's largest army, funded by about $1.3 billion a year in US military aid, closer to Saudi Arabia's fight with the Houthis.

    Source: Al Jazeera · Egypt

Israel is demolishing Palestinian homes in Hebron (3) on the same day it seals the West Bank crossings for its own election (9). Palestinians are locked in by a government they have no vote in, and that is how a military occupation works when it has gone on for more than half a century: Israel has held the West Bank since the war of 11967 HE. Further north, Russia and Ukraine have agreed a truce in occupied Oleshky (7) and swapped 540 prisoners (14), which shows working channels nearly four years after Russia's full-scale invasion. In Haiti (6), deported people are landing in a capital largely run by armed gangs, with nothing in place to receive them.

  1. 3Israeli forces demolish Palestinian homes in Hebron, displacing families

    Israel has occupied Hebron since 11967, and every demolished home pushes Palestinian families out of a city settlers are steadily taking over.

    Source: BBC · West Bank

  2. 6Deported Haitians land in a country with nothing ready for them

    People are being sent back into a state where armed gangs control much of the capital and no system exists to receive them.

    Source: El PaíS English · Haiti

  3. 7Russia, Ukraine agree on ceasefire in Oleshky, plan new peace talks next month

    A truce in this occupied Dnipro river town, plus talks planned next month, is a small test of whether either side can hold a wider deal.

    Source: The Moscow Times · Russia

  4. 9Israel seals West Bank crossings for its own election day

    Palestinians in the occupied West Bank cannot vote for the Israeli government that controls their movement, and that same government is locking them in on the day it is chosen.

    Source: BBC · West Bank

  5. 14Russia and Ukraine swap 540 prisoners of war

    Together with the Oleshky truce, the exchange shows working channels between the two sides even while the war goes on.

    Source: The Moscow Times · Russia

Israeli forces demolishing family homes in Hebron (3) is not a clash between equals. It is an occupying army emptying a city people have lived in for thousands of years, under an occupation that began in 11967 HE and that the ICJ ruled unlawful in 12024 HE. A local truce in Oleshky (7), held by Russia's invading army since 12022 HE, shows that even small agreements can protect trapped civilians, while the killing of seven mourners at a church funeral in Jordan (14), by gunmen officials have not yet identified, strikes at a Christian community whose roots in the region reach back to the first centuries of the faith.

  1. 3Israeli forces demolish Palestinian homes in Hebron, displacing families

    The ICJ ruled in 12024 that Israel's occupation of the West Bank is unlawful, yet demolitions keep pushing Palestinian families out of a city lived in for millennia.

    Source: BBC · West Bank

  2. 7Russia and Ukraine agree Oleshky ceasefire, plan more talks

    A local truce in a town occupied by Russia's invading army since 12022 could protect trapped civilians and test whether wider peace talks can hold.

    Source: The Moscow Times · Russia

  3. 14Gunmen kill seven at a church funeral in Jordan, officials say

    An attack on mourners in one of the region's oldest Christian communities is a rare blow to Jordan's reputation for keeping religious coexistence intact.

    Source: BBC · Jordan

Israel has sent its army into West Bank towns days before its own election (3), so Palestinian homes are once again the backdrop for Israeli campaigning, and in Sudan a BBC investigation finds RSF fighters deliberately targeted hospitals (10), a force that UN experts say has received weapons through the United Arab Emirates. Both stories describe armed power falling on civilians who cannot leave. The Fourth Geneva Convention, signed in 11949 HE, was written to protect exactly these people and the hospitals that treat them, and Israel's occupation of the West Bank has now outlasted that treaty's first 18 years by more than half a century.

  1. 3Israel launches West Bank military operation days before its election

    Israel has occupied the West Bank since 1967, and Palestinian towns again face its army as Israeli politicians campaign for votes.

    Source: Cna · West Bank

  2. 10BBC investigation finds RSF fighters deliberately targeted Sudan's hospitals

    Deliberately attacking hospitals is a war crime under the Geneva Conventions, and in Sudan it removes care from millions already displaced by war.

    Source: BBC · Sudan